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Poll down since provided misleading sense of accuracy and website security issues hopefully solved

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Wed, 04/11/2012 - 11:14 by herb

I Bike TO update: I've resolved some security issues that appeared on Monday. The website should be running smoothly and securely again.

I had published a poll on the proposed Toronto Cyclists Union name change. I decided to take it down since it was not going to provide an accurate sample of the bike union membership. It would do the opposite of just muddying the discussion. Website polls are blunt tools that can only tell us who is most eager to vote and not a representative sample of the population. The resulting numbers may look accurate enough but they won't mean much.

In this case the population is the bike union membership, so to know what they are thinking we would have to conduct a survey of a random sample of the membership. To be precise about 325 people would have to be surveyed. I used this handy sample size calculator based on a membership of 2100, confidence level of 95% and margin of error of +/- 5. For those interested in this survey methodology stuff, wikipedia does a good job of giving an overview. For everyone else, let's just keep conversing.

Tags: 
toronto cyclists union
statistics
politics

Comments

Mondesi (not verified)

Would you care to share the

Thu, 04/12/2012 - 08:09

Would you care to share the data?

Charlotte (not verified)

Thank goodness these issues

Sun, 04/15/2012 - 20:34

Thank goodness these issues have already been resolved. Web security should never be taken for granted to avoid conveying false information.

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Kivi Shapiro (not verified)

It's nice to see statistics

Sun, 04/15/2012 - 22:52

It's nice to see statistics used properly, or at least not used improperly. Props for avoiding the problem of garbage in, garbage out.

I agree with Mondesi that it would be great to see what those 325 people say when you do ask them.

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